Opta SuperComputer Forecasts 2026 World Cup Semi-Finalists
As the tournament reaches the quarter‑final stage, the Opta SuperComputer has released its latest projections for the teams most likely to advance to the last four.
Quarter‑Final Fixtures
The upcoming matches are:
- France vs Morocco
- Spain vs Belgium
- Norway vs England
- Argentina vs Switzerland
SuperComputer Predictions
According to Opta’s model, France, Spain, England and Argentina are the favourites to reach the semi‑finals.
France is given the highest chance of lifting the trophy, with a 27.32 % probability of winning the 2026 World Cup.
Spain, the reigning European champions, follows with a 21.33 % chance of becoming world champions.
Argentina’s probability of retaining its place among the tournament favourites stands at 17.28 %, while England is projected at 16.48 %.
Teams Expected to Exit at the Quarter‑Final Stage
Based on the prediction, Norway, Switzerland, Morocco and Belgium are anticipated to be eliminated in the quarter‑finals.
Disciplinary Concerns for 17 Players
Seventeen players enter the quarter‑finals knowing that another yellow card would rule them out of a possible semi‑final appearance.
All 17 players must avoid another yellow card in the quarter‑finals if they wish to remain eligible for a potential semi‑final spot.
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