The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has remitted a substantial ₦8.79 trillion to the Federation Account. This significant contribution covers the period from January to October of this year. The Federation Account is jointly managed by the federal, state, and local governments.

NUPRC data reveals a notable surge in revenue for October 2025 alone. The commission remitted N873,104,663,972.70 to the Federation Account during that month. This represents a 17.67 percent increase from September 2025’s N741.99 billion. The rise indicates improved operational performance, despite ongoing volatility in the crude oil market.

These funds were generated from various sources. They include royalty collections, gas flare penalties, rentals, and miscellaneous oil revenues for the month under review.

The total remittance of N8,795,528,705,538.82 for the January to October 2025 period is comprehensive. It includes N1,021,550,672,578.87 from NNPC Ltd JV & PSC (Production Sharing Contract) Royalty Receivables. Also, N835,689,852,435.38 was received under Project Gazelle for November 2024.

NUPRC clarified that no receivables were due under Project Gazelle for several months. These included December 2024, February, August, September, and October 2025.

The improved revenue in October arrived at a critical time for the federal government. Nigeria is currently dealing with significant fiscal pressures. Exchange rate challenges and declining oil production, largely due to facility downtime, also persist.

This 17.7 percent month-on-month increase provided a crucial financial relief. It boosted federal allocations to states and local governments. This enabled them to meet their recurrent spending obligations.

Despite the positive growth, a budget shortfall of 27.53 percent remains. This underperformance underscores the need for greater efforts. Nigeria must stabilize production volumes, enforce compliance, and deepen reforms in the upstream oil sector.

Reports from the October 2025 FAAC meeting highlighted outstanding obligations from NNPC. These totaled $1,480,610,652.58 for oil liftings and ₦6,332,884,316,237.13 for royalty receivables.

A significant portion of these outstanding obligations has since been ‘nil-off’. This amounts to $1,421,727,723.00 and ₦5,573,895,769,388.45.

The commission confirmed that appropriate accounting entries have been processed as approved.

For the period of January to October 2025, NNPC’s outstanding statutory obligations remain. These include $56,808,752.32 for PSC and MCA (Modified Carry Agreement) liftings. Also, ₦1,021,550,672,578.87 is outstanding for JV royalty receivables.

NUPRC reported receiving $55,003,997.00 from these outstanding amounts during the month. This leaves a remaining balance of $1,804,755.32 and ₦1,021,550,672,578.87. The $55,003,997.00 received contributed to the total November collections for federation sharing.

October Performance vs. Budget

Despite the strong month-on-month growth in October, collections still missed the approved monthly budget. Actual collections were N873.10 billion against a N1.204 trillion projection. This resulted in a negative variance of N331.70 billion.

NUPRC largely attributes this shortfall to fluctuating crude oil prices. A noticeable drop in crude oil production also played a role. These factors have consistently impacted government revenue projections throughout 2025.

Nevertheless, NUPRC’s improved performance compared to the previous month offers some relief. Federal and state governments depend heavily on oil-linked revenues.

Revenue Category Breakdown

A breakdown of revenue categories shows mixed results. Oil and gas royalties for October stood at ₦807.08 billion. This is 70.54 percent of the monthly budget for this stream. Though below target, it marks a ₦143.28 billion increase from September’s ₦663.80 billion. This indicates a strong recovery in royalty inflows.

Gas flare penalties generated ₦61.70 billion. This figure exceeded both the budgeted amount and the previous month’s collections. It represents 105.52 percent of the monthly target. This also marks a modest month-on-month increase.

Rental revenue in October was ₦3.60 billion. This is higher than September’s ₦2.16 billion. It signifies a positive 65.15 percent month-on-month growth.

Conversely, miscellaneous collections sharply dropped to N0.394 billion. This is significantly below expectations and September’s ₦5.62 billion. It marks the steepest decline across all revenue categories.

Overall, October’s total revenue of ₦873.10 billion surpassed the previous month’s. It was higher by ₦131.12 billion. This reinforces a steady recovery after earlier fluctuations in the year.