Nigeria’s Super Eagles have been given a modest 7.3% probability of winning the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) 2025 title. This projection comes from Opta Supercomputer data released ahead of the tournament.
Published on December 15, these forecasts place Nigeria outside the top contenders. AFCON 2025 kicks off this weekend in Morocco. The competition runs through January 18, 2026. Matches will occur across multiple Moroccan cities.
Host nation Morocco emerge as strongest favorites according to Opta. The Atlas Lions hold a 29.9% win probability. Their advantage combines home support, squad depth, and current form.
Egypt ranks second with a 12.4% championship chance. Senegal follows closely at 12.3% probability.
Algeria claims fourth position with 12% likelihood. Nigeria completes the top five at 7.3%. This trails Algeria’s projection slightly.
The Super Eagles enter AFCON 2025 as last edition’s runners-up. They lost 2-1 to Ivory Coast in the previous final. Defending champions Ivory Coast rank below Nigeria in current projections. Tunisia, Mali, Cameroon, and South Africa follow behind.
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